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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5751
Full Court Chance Hit: II
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$35.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $6.14 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $35.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.63
Grail premium $5.51 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $35.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
95 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
33
of 2,000 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago1.7%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.05
Legendary0 / 19 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.95
Rare21 / 1,192 (1.8%)
64 per 100 sealed packs · launch 60 · ≈ launch rate
Common78 / 4,788 (1.6%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 19 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 21 / 1,192 | 21% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 78 / 4,788 | 79% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 95 of 95 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Denver Nuggets
Reel
Fit Check
RARESeries 4Coded
FMV
$35.10
Recent Low
$39.00
Mint 25
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Donovan Mitchell
Assist · Oct 19, 2022
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 4
FMV
$32.75
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 425
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Josh Giddey
Assist · Oct 24, 2024
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Jaylen Brown
Dunk · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Reel · Dec 1, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$5.39
Mint 499
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Franz Wagner
3 Pointer · Jan 26, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Jonathan Kuminga
Dunk · Feb 6, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Draymond Green
Block · Nov 13, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.30
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Brandon Roy
Handles · Nov 2, 2006
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Paolo Banchero
Dunk · Nov 19, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.83
Mint 446
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Oct 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$5.35
Recent Low
$5.94
Mint 500
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Memphis Grizzlies
Reel
Fit Check
RARESeries 4Bit
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
—
Mint 50
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Houston Rockets
Dunk · Jan 15, 2024
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns
Reel · Jan 23, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.89
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Devin Booker
Jump Shot · Dec 4, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.74
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Bogdan Bogdanović
Steal · Mar 18, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 749
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Anfernee Simons
Dunk · Jan 25, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.25
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Khris Middleton
3 Pointer · Mar 19, 2022
Squad Goals
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$6.79
Mint 460
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Lonnie Walker IV
Dunk · Feb 26, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 749
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Alperen Şengün
Assist · Nov 16, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.95
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Brooklyn Nets
Dunk · Oct 25, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.40
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Goga Bitadze
Block · Dec 16, 2024
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Drew Eubanks
Dunk · Nov 27, 2024
NBA Cup
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
LeBron James
Assist · Dec 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$1.99
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01