🏠 HOME 🔍 SEARCH ⚡ SNIPER 👤 MY STUFF 🗂 COLLECTIONS LIVE
⚡ COLLECTION ANALYZER — FMV + marketplace asks + badge intel ⚡ PACK EV CALCULATOR — expected value vs price ⚡ SNIPER — real-time deals below FMV ⚡ BADGE FILTERS — filter any view by Top Shot Debut · Fresh · Rookie Year ⚡ SET TRACKER — completion + bottleneck finder ⚡ COLLECTION ANALYZER — FMV + marketplace asks + badge intel ⚡ PACK EV CALCULATOR — expected value vs price ⚡ SNIPER — real-time deals below FMV ⚡ BADGE FILTERS — filter any view by Top Shot Debut · Fresh · Rookie Year ⚡ SET TRACKER — completion + bottleneck finder
What's your collection worth? Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.
Home › NBA Top Shot › Anthology: Chance Hit NBA Top Shot · Pack #6033
Anthology: Chance Hit Common 5 slots
Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$7.88] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value. Pack price
Primary SOLD OUT
Secondary $7.88
Actual EV
—
≈ — ceiling · EV last computed 25 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
Value ratio
—
EV last computed 25 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
Depletion
91%
pool · as of 25d ago
Packs remaining
550
of 6,171 minted · as of 25d ago
Packs Content Remaining pool · as of 25d ago Common 2,517 / 29,594 (8.5%)
Pull odds by tier 5 slots/pack · as of 25d ago Tier Remaining % of pool Odds / pack Ultimate 0 / 1 0.0% depleted Legendary 1 / 25 <0.1% ~1 in 526 Rare 109 / 1,235 4.1% ~1 in 5 Common 2,517 / 29,594 96% ~every pack
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside pullable editions FMV ↓ Mint ↑ Series ↓ A → Z
Load 24 more
▸ Exhausted / pulled out (37)
💬 Observed pack lifecycle Packs opened
3,066
attributed rips · sample
Moments pulled
15,326
from opened packs
Realized pull value
$35.72
total, priced pulls
Avg / pack
$2.75
per pack we could price
Sealed (observed)
2
still unopened
What drives the remaining EV Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.
EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.
Sealed pack resale Median $7.74 (90d) Last $7.99 · 1mo ago Retail $7.99 3,319 sales · 23 in 90d
trades ~0.97× retail
Sales History secondary pack sales Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.
Top pulls by EV top 3 of 0 Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/27/2026, 7:38:03 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.
