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NBA Top Shot · Pack #6033
Anthology: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$7.65
Actual EV
—
≈ $3.25 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 91% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $7.65 ask
Typical Pull
$1.00
Grail premium $2.25 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 91% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $7.65 ask
FMV coverage
100%
285 editions
Depletion
92%
pool · as of 19h ago
Packs remaining
518
of 6,171 minted · as of 19h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 19h ago8.4%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.02
Legendary1 / 25 (4.0%)
0.19 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.41 · 0.5× launch rate
Rare107 / 1,235 (8.7%)
21 per 100 sealed packs · launch 20 · ≈ launch rate
Common2,477 / 29,594 (8.4%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 19h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 1 / 25 | <0.1% | ~1 in 517 |
| Rare | 107 / 1,235 | 4.1% | ~1 in 5 |
| Common | 2,477 / 29,594 | 96% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 285 of 285 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Steph Curry
Reel · Jan 4, 2021
The Anthology: Steph Curry
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$311
Recent Low
$464
Mint 62
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Darius Garland
3 Pointer · Nov 5, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$30.00
Recent Low
$19.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Rudy Gobert
Jump Shot · Oct 20, 2022
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 4
FMV
$24.95
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 425
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Kevin Durant
3 Pointer · Dec 30, 2011
The Anthology: Kevin Durant
RARESeries 4
FMV
$21.50
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.27%Wt 0.003
Kevin Durant
Layup · Dec 2, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$13.50
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
LeBron James
Block · Dec 16, 2024
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$13.50
Recent Low
$13.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Dejounte Murray
Assist · Oct 24, 2024
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · May 20, 2024
Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 269
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Jalen Brunson
Assist · Dec 10, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Quenton Jackson
Dunk · Nov 19, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.42
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.39%Wt 0.004
LeBron James
3 Pointer · Feb 2, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.79
Recent Low
$0.75
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.10%Wt 0.041
Wendell Carter Jr.
Dunk · Feb 22, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.67%Wt 0.027
Paul George
3 Pointer · Dec 17, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.02%Wt 0.04
Jabari Smith Jr.
3 Pointer · Mar 18, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.40%Wt 0.024
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Jump Shot · Dec 22, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.71%Wt 0.027
Tyrese Maxey
Block · Feb 9, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.32%Wt 0.023
James Harden
Layup · Mar 24, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.95%Wt 0.05
Isaiah Hartenstein
Dunk · Feb 25, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.82%Wt 0.028
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Dunk · Apr 13, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.67%Wt 0.027
Brandon Clarke
Dunk · Dec 8, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.33%Wt 0.043
Davion Mitchell
Block · Feb 14, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.60%Wt 0.036
Mikal Bridges
3 Pointer · Mar 30, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.60%Wt 0.036
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Dunk · Jan 11, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.40%Wt 0.034
Andrew Wiggins
Layup · Mar 23, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.031