What's your collection worth?Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.
NBA Top Shot · Pack #6739
Holiday of Hoops: Chance Hit
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$6.50
Actual EV
—
≈ $4.14 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $6.50
Typical Pull
$1.05
Grail premium $3.09 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $6.50
FMV coverage
100%
100 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 67d ago
Packs remaining
381
of 10,000 minted · as of 67d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 67d ago3.8%unopened
Legendary1 / 12 (8.3%)
Rare40 / 1,388 (2.9%)
Common1,072 / 28,600 (3.7%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 67d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 12 | <0.1% | ~1 in 371 |
| Rare | 40 / 1,388 | 3.6% | ~1 in 10 |
| Common | 1,072 / 28,600 | 96% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 100 of 100 (100%)Victor Wembanyama
Freshman Gems
RARE6
FMV
$575
Floor
$502
Mint 199
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Kyrie Irving
Deck the Hoops
LEGENDARY2
FMV
$320
Floor
$355
Mint 85
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Carter Bryant
Origins
RARE8
FMV
$56.00
Floor
$45.00
Mint 129
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Evan Mobley
Equinox
RARE8
FMV
$11.29
Floor
$6.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Quentin Richardson
Run It Back 2005-06
RARE3
FMV
$10.71
Floor
$7.00
Mint 990
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Michael Porter Jr.
Rising Stars
RARE2
FMV
$4.80
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,021
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.002
Jayson Tatum
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$4.65
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.002
Rui Hachimura
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$4.62
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.002
Bam Adebayo
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$4.17
Floor
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.002
Bogdan Bogdanović
Base Set
COMMON8
FMV
$0.89
Floor
$0.33
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.35%Wt 0.013
Jaylon Tyson
Base Set
COMMON8
FMV
$0.77
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.98%Wt 0.02
Paolo Banchero
Base Set
COMMON8
FMV
$0.59
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.43%Wt 0.024
Ayo Dosunmu
Base Set
COMMON8
FMV
$0.57
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.017
Svi Mykhailiuk
Base Set
COMMON8
FMV
$0.53
Floor
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.52%Wt 0.025
Keldon Johnson
Base Set
COMMON8
FMV
$0.48
Floor
$0.27
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.70%Wt 0.027
Kyle Filipowski
Base Set
COMMON8
FMV
$0.45
Floor
$0.40
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.05%Wt 0.031
Landry Shamet
Base Set
COMMON8
FMV
$0.45
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.25%Wt 0.022
Karl-Anthony Towns
Base Set
COMMON8
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.52%Wt 0.025
Alex Sarr
Base Set
COMMON8
FMV
$0.43
Floor
$0.31
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.34%Wt 0.023
Drew Eubanks
Base Set
COMMON8
FMV
$0.42
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.61%Wt 0.026
Chet Holmgren
Base Set
COMMON8
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.07%Wt 0.021
Duop Reath
Base Set
COMMON8
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.34%Wt 0.023
Marvin Bagley III
Base Set
COMMON8
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.25%Wt 0.022
Franz Wagner
Base Set
COMMON8
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.77%Wt 0.038