RPC Insights · Public

The Lock-Rate Squeeze Board

Top Shot's marketplace shows you circulation. We show you effective supply — circulation minus the moments locked in challenges and the moments already burned. Editions with 50%+ squeeze are tighter than the listing page lets on.

Updated Aug 5, 2026, 19:28 UTC·Refreshes hourly·No signup

MAX BUYABLE

TROPHY-CIRC

SORT

Editions

200

Median squeeze

88%

Median buyable

Total locked

28,143

Edition	Tier	Circ	Locked	Burned	Squeeze	Buyable	FMV	Low ask
2022-23 Season Rewind	LEGENDARY	35	26	10	103%	0	$90.00	$100
Julius Randle Base Set	COMMON	7,911	1,486	6,545	102%	0	$0.31	$0.50
Anthony Edwards Kingmaker	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Skyline	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Deni Avdija Kingmaker	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	$800	—
Jamal Shead 2024 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Kamilla Cardoso 2024 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Devin Booker Kingmaker	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Scottie Barnes Kingmaker	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Earl Monroe Heroes of the Game: Diamond Edition	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
VJ Edgecombe 2025 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	$3.0k	—
Wilt Chamberlain Heroes of the Game: Diamond Edition	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Alexa Held 2025 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Donovan Clingan 2024 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	$2.1k	—
Tyrese Proctor 2025 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Pacôme Dadiet 2024 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Aaliyah Edwards 2024 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Reed Sheppard 2024 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Jaylen Brown Kingmaker	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	$1.5k	—
Caleb Love 2025 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	$500	—
Cameron Brink 2024 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Monique Akoa Makani 2025 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Skyline	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Rick Barry Heroes of the Game: Diamond Edition	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Will Riley 2025 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Billy Cunningham Heroes of the Game: Diamond Edition	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Jamal Murray Kingmaker	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	$750	—
Sion James 2025 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Alex Sarr 2024 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
John Havlicek Heroes of the Game: Diamond Edition	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Derik Queen Signature Series	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Hal Greer Heroes of the Game: Diamond Edition	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Skyline	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Skyline	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
James Harden Kingmaker	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Skyline	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Jalen Johnson Kingmaker	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
LaMelo Ball Kingmaker	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	$1.6k	—
Dave DeBusschere Heroes of the Game: Diamond Edition	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Tyrese Maxey Kingmaker	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Cedric Coward 2025 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Kate Martin 2024 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Skyline	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	$2.0k	—
Derik Queen Signature Series	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Sonia Citron 2025 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Janelle Salaün 2025 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Saniya Rivers 2025 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Rickea Jackson 2024 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Julie Vanloo 2024 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Oscar Robertson Heroes of the Game: Diamond Edition	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Jalen Brunson 2025 NBA Playoffs: Ultimate	ULTIMATE	10	4	6	100%	0	$1.8k	—
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 2025 NBA Playoffs: Ultimate	ULTIMATE	10	8	2	100%	0	$3.0k	—
Alonzo Mourning Run It Back: Legacy Threads	LEGENDARY	41	38	3	100%	0	$775	—
Fit Check	RARE	175	170	1	98%	4	$49.50	$55.00
Kevin Garnett Run It Back: Legacy Threads	LEGENDARY	42	41	0	98%	1	$650	—
Ausar Thompson Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	720	685	1	95%	34	$8.52	—
Jalen Brunson Run It Back: Origins	RARE	229	205	13	95%	11	$153	$300
2022-23 Season Rewind	LEGENDARY	40	38	0	95%	2	$200	— ask ≫ FMV
Johnny Davis Base Set	COMMON	8,000	1,672	5,860	94%	468	$0.42	$0.66
Luguentz Dort 2025 NBA Playoffs: Legendary	LEGENDARY	75	16	54	93%	5	$719	$799
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	35	891	93%	73	$31.50	—
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	50	876	93%	73	$27.00	—
Ivica Zubac Base Set	COMMON	9,500	1,249	7,553	93%	698	$0.29	$0.35
Dennis Rodman Run It Back: Phantom Threads	RARE	202	184	3	93%	15	$114	—
Patrick Ewing Run It Back: Phantom Threads	RARE	187	167	6	93%	14	$300	—
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	32	892	93%	75	$24.30	—
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	45	875	92%	79	$3.40	—
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	33	887	92%	79	$4.25	—
2022-23 Season Rewind	LEGENDARY	36	25	8	92%	3	$115	$198
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	31	883	92%	85	$10.80	—
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	39	875	92%	85	$10.80	—
Saniya Rivers WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2025	RARE	93	85	0	91%	8	$123	$200
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	40	870	91%	89	$16.20	—
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	32	876	91%	91	$21.60	—
Dominique Wilkins Run It Back: Phantom Threads	RARE	196	175	3	91%	18	$111	—
Allen Iverson Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	21	19	0	91%	2	$3.0k	—
Jarrett Allen Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	464	420	0	91%	44	$17.25	—
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	114	790	91%	95	$8.55	$9.50
Patrick Williams Base Set	COMMON	9,500	1,556	7,038	91%	906	$0.48	$0.78
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	44	857	90%	98	$9.90	—
Malcolm Brogdon Got Game	COMMON	1,000	124	778	90%	98	$27.00	$30.00
Steph Curry Supernova	ULTIMATE	10	9	0	90%	1	$10k	$15k
Nikola Jokić Supernova	ULTIMATE	10	9	0	90%	1	$3.5k	—
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	40	858	90%	101	$11.70	—
Arvydas Sabonis Run It Back: Origins	RARE	196	170	6	90%	20	$36.67	$96.00
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	41	855	90%	103	$9.00	—
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	46	849	90%	104	$12.60	—
Breanna Stewart WNBA Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	19	17	0	90%	2	$450	$500
Aneesah Morrow WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2025	RARE	95	85	0	90%	10	$83.00	$85.00
Ray Allen Run It Back: Plasma Reign	LEGENDARY	75	64	3	89%	8	$180	—
Lonzo Ball Got Game	COMMON	1,000	115	776	89%	109	$30.75	$39.00
Jonquel Jones WNBA Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	18	16	0	89%	2	$810	—
Nikola Jokić The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	472	3,972	89%	556	$1.26	$1.50
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	63	824	89%	112	$10.80	—
2022-23 Season Rewind	LEGENDARY	35	23	8	89%	4	$113	$125
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	40	843	88%	116	$8.50	—
VJ Edgecombe Origins	RARE	132	68	48	88%	16	$269	$299
Jaylen Brown Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs	RARE	365	120	201	88%	44	$9.67	$13.75
2022-23 Season Rewind	LEGENDARY	41	30	6	88%	5	$175	$130
The Champion's Path 2024	FANDOM	1,134	42	952	88%	140	$1.33	—
LeBron James Throwdowns	RARE	113	98	1	88%	14	$196	$323
Donovan Mitchell Constellations	RARE	249	211	7	88%	31	$19.95	—
Jamal Murray The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	443	3,935	88%	622	$1.70	$1.89
Kamilla Cardoso WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2024	RARE	119	99	5	87%	15	$39.46	$175
The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	455	3,915	87%	630	$0.71	$0.79
The Champion's Path 2024	FANDOM	1,134	53	936	87%	145	$2.00	—
Jayson Tatum The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	315	4,041	87%	644	$1.11	$2.00
Alyssa Thomas WNBA Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	23	20	0	87%	3	$106	$219
Sabrina Ionescu WNBA Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	23	20	0	87%	3	$539	$599
Anfernee Hardaway Run It Back: Origins	RARE	168	146	0	87%	22	$131	$145
RJ Barrett Got Game	COMMON	1,000	122	747	87%	131	$35.10	$39.00
LeBron James The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	271	4,075	87%	654	$13.63	$22.00
Steph Curry The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	279	4,060	87%	661	$0.75	$2.22
Al Horford Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs	RARE	309	117	151	87%	41	$4.25	$7.90
Jimmy Butler The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	239	4,091	87%	670	$0.90	$1.00
The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	266	4,065	87%	669	$0.90	$1.00
2022-23 Season Rewind	LEGENDARY	37	26	6	87%	5	$48.60	$54.00
Jackie Young 2025 WNBA Finals	LEGENDARY	44	38	0	86%	6	$61.33	$144
Jalen Williams 2022-23 Honors	RARE	117	98	3	86%	16	$195	$89.00
The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	227	4,088	86%	685	$2.70	$3.00
The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	271	4,038	86%	691	$1.80	$2.00
Bam Adebayo The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	224	4,079	86%	697	$1.35	$1.50
Collin Sexton Fresh Threads	RARE	249	156	58	86%	35	$24.50	—
Harry Giles Got Game	COMMON	1,000	165	694	86%	141	$10.20	$40.00
Damion Lee Got Game	COMMON	1,000	140	719	86%	141	$25.83	$29.00
Anthony Davis The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	244	4,048	86%	708	$1.00	$1.11
2022-23 Season Rewind	LEGENDARY	35	20	10	86%	5	$34.00	$134
Breanna Stewart WNBA Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	49	24	18	86%	7	$206	$459
Victor Wembanyama Metallic Gold LE	RARE	147	126	0	86%	21	$975	$1.1k
Brandon Miller Metallic Gold LE	RARE	168	139	5	86%	24	$56.00	$65.00
Julie Vanloo WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2024	RARE	123	97	8	85%	18	$14.52	$23.00
Fit Check	RARE	171	139	7	85%	25	$5.95	$12.00
Jaylen Brown Eastern Conference Finals	RARE	999	116	737	85%	146	$27.00	$30.00
Jaylen Brown The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	287	3,984	85%	729	$0.89	$1.00
Cameron Brink WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2024	RARE	129	99	11	85%	19	$49.33	$65.00
WNBA Squad Goals	RARE	150	124	4	85%	22	$8.50	$54.00
Jalen Brunson The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	272	3,986	85%	742	$1.80	$2.00
Kevin Durant The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	252	4,006	85%	742	$2.00	$2.22
Keyonte George Extra Spice	COMMON	1,000	842	9	85%	149	$10.68	—
Josh Jackson Got Game	COMMON	1,000	118	733	85%	149	$18.00	$20.00
2022-23 Season Rewind	LEGENDARY	40	21	13	85%	6	$220	$120
Larry Johnson Run It Back	RARE	273	222	10	85%	41	$19.17	$39.99
Damian Lillard For the Win	RARE	252	209	5	85%	38	$20.17	—
Manu Ginóbili Run It Back: Origins	RARE	184	152	4	85%	28	$39.25	$75.00
Jayson Tatum Eastern Conference Finals	RARE	999	116	731	85%	152	$36.00	$40.00
Devonte' Graham Got Game	COMMON	1,000	132	716	85%	152	$24.30	$27.00
LeBron James Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	13	11	0	85%	2	$3.0k	—
Keegan Murray Rookie Revelation	LEGENDARY	52	43	1	85%	8	$378	$420
Donovan Mitchell Got Game	COMMON	1,000	141	704	85%	155	$22.00	$18.50
Marcus Smart Eastern Conference Finals	RARE	999	110	733	84%	156	$10.40	$11.00
Klay Thompson The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	248	3,971	84%	781	$1.33	$2.00
Trae Young For The Win	RARE	102	85	1	84%	16	$81.50	—
Walt Frazier Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	146	122	1	84%	23	$200	$291
Devin Booker The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	246	3,963	84%	791	$0.85	$2.00
Daniel Theis Eastern Conference Finals	RARE	999	108	732	84%	159	$8.33	$11.00
Kemba Walker Eastern Conference Finals	RARE	999	103	737	84%	159	$20.70	$23.00
Bam Adebayo Eastern Conference Finals	RARE	999	95	745	84%	159	$11.50	$15.00
Julius Randle The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	284	3,922	84%	794	$0.90	$1.00
Sam Hauser Breakout	RARE	149	121	4	84%	24	$57.50	—
Dell Curry Run It Back: Family Business	RARE	155	128	2	84%	25	$63.75	—
Jayson Tatum Run It Back: Origins 2014-19	RARE	242	203	0	84%	39	$150	$215
The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	269	3,923	84%	808	$0.82	$1.11
Dana Evans 2025 WNBA Finals	LEGENDARY	49	41	0	84%	8	$100	$150
The Champion's Path 2024	FANDOM	1,252	58	990	84%	204	$2.00	—
The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	270	3,908	84%	822	$1.13	$1.25
Joel Embiid The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	286	3,894	84%	820	$0.85	$1.50
The Champion's Path 2024	FANDOM	1,252	55	990	84%	207	$0.85	—
Goran Dragić Eastern Conference Finals	RARE	999	89	744	83%	166	$17.10	$19.00
Troy Brown Jr. Got Game	COMMON	1,000	141	692	83%	167	$11.60	$13.60
The Champion's Path 2024	FANDOM	1,147	49	906	83%	192	$2.00	—
The Champion's Path 2024	FANDOM	2,381	103	1,879	83%	399	$1.31	—
Keyonte George Denied!	RARE	599	361	137	83%	101	$9.75	$10.55
The Champion's Path 2024	FANDOM	1,613	58	1,283	83%	272	$6.30	—
The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	267	3,884	83%	849	$0.86	$0.95
Ivica Zubac Got Game	COMMON	1,000	112	717	83%	171	$18.00	$20.00
Svi Mykhailiuk Denied!	RARE	599	435	61	83%	103	$7.69	$12.00
Jimmy Butler Eastern Conference Finals	RARE	999	107	719	83%	173	$13.67	$20.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Got Game	COMMON	1,000	149	678	83%	173	$36.00	$40.00
Jamal Murray Got Game	COMMON	1,000	131	696	83%	173	$43.20	$48.00
The Champion's Path 2024	FANDOM	1,613	55	1,279	83%	279	$2.70	—
Latrell Sprewell Run It Back	RARE	268	209	12	83%	47	$12.22	$23.00
D'Angelo Russell Got Game	COMMON	1,000	136	689	83%	175	$24.30	$27.00
Tyrese Haliburton Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	17	11	3	82%	3	$3.8k	—
Pau Gasol Run It Back: Origins	RARE	205	165	4	82%	36	$36.00	$59.00
Derrick Rose Got Game	COMMON	1,000	122	702	82%	176	$39.60	$44.00
Marcus Smart Got Game	COMMON	1,000	141	681	82%	178	$18.90	$21.00
Chelsea Gray In Their Bag	LEGENDARY	28	21	2	82%	5	$3.1k	$3.5k
Tyler Herro Eastern Conference Finals	RARE	999	105	715	82%	179	$13.00	$24.00
James Harden The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	261	3,842	82%	897	$0.63	$2.00
The Champion's Path 2024	FANDOM	1,147	47	893	82%	207	$1.80	—
The Champion's Path 2024	FANDOM	1,293	78	981	82%	234	$2.00	—
Nikola Jokić Run It Back: Origins 2014-19	RARE	225	183	1	82%	41	$212	$199
Jamal Murray 2023 NBA Playoffs	COMMON	1,608	443	872	82%	293	$1.00	$2.00
Alexandre Sarr Denied!	RARE	241	186	11	82%	44	$31.49	$34.99
Chelsea Gray 2025 WNBA Finals	LEGENDARY	49	40	0	82%	9	$95.00	$150
Alyssa Thomas 2025 WNBA Finals	LEGENDARY	49	40	0	82%	9	$110	—
The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	260	3,819	82%	921	$0.59	$0.66
Russell Westbrook Base Set	COMMON	8,500	1,523	5,413	82%	1,564	$0.35	$0.40
Luka Dončić Run It Back: Origins 2014-19	RARE	211	172	0	82%	39	$331	$399
Carlos Boozer Run It Back	RARE	699	260	310	82%	129	$9.09	$13.80

Methodology

Squeeze % = (locked + burned) / circulation. Lock %, burn %, and effectively-buyable % all share the same denominator (original circulation), so they sum to 100%. Squeeze % is bounded to [50%, 100%].

Effectively buyable = circulation − locked − burned. Lock + burn data refreshes hourly from on-chain badge event ingestion. FMV from the RPC 1.7.0 sales-based average-sales-price model (recency-weighted) with outlier filtering; — indicates fewer than the minimum sale-count threshold for a confidence score.

Low ask is the lowest live listing. A listing more than 10× this edition’s FMV is shown as — “ask &gg; FMV”rather than as a price: at that distance it is either a troll listing or a stale FMV, and either way it is not what the moment trades for. The row itself is never removed — hover the flag to see the listed number. Today this affects 10 of the 8,859 editions that carry a live ask.

We start at 50% squeeze because below that, the marketplace UI is already close to honest. The interesting tail is the editions where Top Shot says “229 minted” and only 12 of them are actually purchasable.

The Lock-Rate Squeeze Board

Methodology

The numbers, in your inbox.