RPC Insights · Public

The Lock-Rate Squeeze Board

Top Shot's marketplace shows you circulation. We show you effective supply — circulation minus the moments locked in challenges and the moments already burned. Editions with 50%+ squeeze are tighter than the listing page lets on.

Updated Aug 5, 2026, 20:35 UTC·Refreshes hourly·No signup

MAX BUYABLE

TROPHY-CIRC

SORT

Editions

200

Median squeeze

90%

Median buyable

Total locked

25,105

Edition	Tier	Circ	Locked	Burned	Squeeze	Buyable	FMV	Low ask
Dylan Harper 2026 Playoff Premieres	RARE	129	42	114	121%	0	$425	$799
2022-23 Season Rewind	LEGENDARY	35	26	10	103%	0	$90.00	$100
Dylan Harper Metallic Gold LE	RARE	129	76	56	102%	0	$361	$799
Julius Randle Base Set	COMMON	7,911	1,486	6,545	102%	0	$0.31	$0.50
Kamilla Cardoso 2024 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Pacôme Dadiet 2024 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Alex Sarr 2024 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Jamal Murray Kingmaker	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	$750	—
Reed Sheppard 2024 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Jamal Shead 2024 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Jaylen Brown Kingmaker	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	$1.5k	—
Skyline	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Scottie Barnes Kingmaker	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Alexa Held 2025 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Monique Akoa Makani 2025 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Saniya Rivers 2025 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
James Harden Kingmaker	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Deni Avdija Kingmaker	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	$800	—
Skyline	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Anthony Edwards Kingmaker	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Hal Greer Heroes of the Game: Diamond Edition	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Tyrese Maxey Kingmaker	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Devin Booker Kingmaker	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Derik Queen Signature Series	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Derik Queen Signature Series	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Julie Vanloo 2024 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Skyline	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Rickea Jackson 2024 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Aaliyah Edwards 2024 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Cameron Brink 2024 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Sion James 2025 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Tyrese Proctor 2025 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Kate Martin 2024 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Sonia Citron 2025 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
John Havlicek Heroes of the Game: Diamond Edition	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Janelle Salaün 2025 WNBA Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Wilt Chamberlain Heroes of the Game: Diamond Edition	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
VJ Edgecombe 2025 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	$3.0k	—
Caleb Love 2025 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	$500	—
Will Riley 2025 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Skyline	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	$2.0k	—
Skyline	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Skyline	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Jalen Johnson Kingmaker	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
LaMelo Ball Kingmaker	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	$1.6k	—
Rick Barry Heroes of the Game: Diamond Edition	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Dave DeBusschere Heroes of the Game: Diamond Edition	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Earl Monroe Heroes of the Game: Diamond Edition	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Donovan Clingan 2024 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	$2.1k	—
Billy Cunningham Heroes of the Game: Diamond Edition	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Cedric Coward 2025 Rookie Ultimates	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Oscar Robertson Heroes of the Game: Diamond Edition	ULTIMATE	1	1	0	100%	0	—	—
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 2025 NBA Playoffs: Ultimate	ULTIMATE	10	8	2	100%	0	$3.0k	—
Jalen Brunson 2025 NBA Playoffs: Ultimate	ULTIMATE	10	4	6	100%	0	$1.8k	—
Alonzo Mourning Run It Back: Legacy Threads	LEGENDARY	41	38	3	100%	0	$775	—
Dylan Harper Origins	RARE	129	70	58	99%	1	$327	$450
VJ Edgecombe Freshman Gems	RARE	129	74	53	98%	2	$94.40	$215
Collin Murray-Boyles Freshman Gems	RARE	129	77	49	98%	3	$113	$125
Fit Check	RARE	175	170	1	98%	4	$49.50	$55.00
Kevin Garnett Run It Back: Legacy Threads	LEGENDARY	42	41	0	98%	1	$650	—
Carter Bryant Rookie Revelation	LEGENDARY	29	28	0	97%	1	$629	$3.0k
VJ Edgecombe Metallic Gold LE	RARE	129	85	39	96%	5	$378	$420
Ausar Thompson Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	720	685	1	95%	34	$8.52	—
Jalen Brunson Run It Back: Origins	RARE	229	205	13	95%	11	$153	$300
2022-23 Season Rewind	LEGENDARY	40	38	0	95%	2	$200	— ask ≫ FMV
Johnny Davis Base Set	COMMON	8,000	1,672	5,860	94%	468	$0.42	$0.66
Aaron Wiggins 2025 NBA Playoffs: Common	COMMON	2,025	193	1,698	93%	134	$3.68	$9.00
Luguentz Dort 2025 NBA Playoffs: Legendary	LEGENDARY	75	16	54	93%	5	$719	$799
Tre Johnson Freshman Gems	RARE	129	96	24	93%	9	$68.50	$110
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	50	876	93%	73	$27.00	—
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	35	891	93%	73	$31.50	—
Ivica Zubac Base Set	COMMON	9,500	1,249	7,553	93%	698	$0.29	$0.35
Dennis Rodman Run It Back: Phantom Threads	RARE	202	184	3	93%	15	$114	—
Patrick Ewing Run It Back: Phantom Threads	RARE	187	167	6	93%	14	$300	—
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	32	892	93%	75	$24.30	—
Luguentz Dort 2025 NBA Playoffs: Common	COMMON	2,025	175	1,694	92%	156	$2.59	$5.75
Isaiah Joe 2025 NBA Playoffs: Common	COMMON	2,025	203	1,667	92%	155	$1.08	$4.25
Derik Queen Metallic Gold LE	RARE	129	94	25	92%	10	$86.71	$111
Cason Wallace 2025 NBA Playoffs: Common	COMMON	2,025	191	1,676	92%	158	$3.25	$12.00
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	33	887	92%	79	$4.25	—
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	45	875	92%	79	$3.40	—
Jalen Williams 2025 NBA Playoffs: Legendary	LEGENDARY	75	25	44	92%	6	$1.4k	$1.5k
Chet Holmgren 2025 NBA Playoffs: Common	COMMON	2,025	192	1,666	92%	167	$3.00	$8.00
2022-23 Season Rewind	LEGENDARY	36	25	8	92%	3	$115	$198
Cooper Flagg Metallic Gold LE	RARE	129	110	8	92%	11	$531	$585
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	31	883	92%	85	$10.80	—
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	39	875	92%	85	$10.80	—
Alex Caruso 2025 NBA Playoffs: Common	COMMON	2,025	184	1,668	92%	173	$1.00	$1.95
Saniya Rivers WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2025	RARE	93	85	0	91%	8	$123	$200
Kyrie Irving Run It Back: Origins	RARE	243	215	7	91%	21	$100	$802
Isaiah Hartenstein 2025 NBA Playoffs: Common	COMMON	2,025	199	1,650	91%	176	$0.87	$1.95
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	40	870	91%	89	$16.20	—
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	32	876	91%	91	$21.60	—
Dominique Wilkins Run It Back: Phantom Threads	RARE	196	175	3	91%	18	$111	—
Allen Iverson Run It Back: Legacies	LEGENDARY	21	19	0	91%	2	$3.0k	—
Jarrett Allen Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	464	420	0	91%	44	$17.25	—
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	114	790	91%	95	$8.55	$9.50
Patrick Williams Base Set	COMMON	9,500	1,556	7,038	91%	906	$0.48	$0.78
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	44	857	90%	98	$9.90	—
Malcolm Brogdon Got Game	COMMON	1,000	124	778	90%	98	$27.00	$30.00
Steph Curry Supernova	ULTIMATE	10	9	0	90%	1	$10k	$15k
Nikola Jokić Supernova	ULTIMATE	10	9	0	90%	1	$3.5k	—
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	40	858	90%	101	$11.70	—
Arvydas Sabonis Run It Back: Origins	RARE	196	170	6	90%	20	$36.67	$96.00
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	41	855	90%	103	$9.00	—
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	46	849	90%	104	$12.60	—
Breanna Stewart WNBA Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	19	17	0	90%	2	$450	$500
Aneesah Morrow WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2025	RARE	95	85	0	90%	10	$83.00	$85.00
Ray Allen Run It Back: Plasma Reign	LEGENDARY	75	64	3	89%	8	$180	—
Alex Caruso 2025 NBA Playoffs: Legendary	LEGENDARY	75	19	48	89%	8	$134	$244
Lonzo Ball Got Game	COMMON	1,000	115	776	89%	109	$30.75	$39.00
Jonquel Jones WNBA Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	18	16	0	89%	2	$810	—
Nikola Jokić The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	472	3,972	89%	556	$1.26	$1.50
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	63	824	89%	112	$10.80	—
2022-23 Season Rewind	LEGENDARY	35	23	8	89%	4	$113	$125
Collin Murray-Boyles Origins	RARE	129	61	53	88%	15	$111	$150
The Champion's Path 2024	RARE	999	40	843	88%	116	$8.50	—
VJ Edgecombe Origins	RARE	132	68	48	88%	16	$269	$299
Jaylen Brown Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs	RARE	365	120	201	88%	44	$9.67	$13.75
2022-23 Season Rewind	LEGENDARY	41	30	6	88%	5	$175	$130
The Champion's Path 2024	FANDOM	1,134	42	952	88%	140	$1.33	—
LeBron James Throwdowns	RARE	113	98	1	88%	14	$185	$323
Kon Knueppel Freshman Gems	RARE	129	95	18	88%	16	$128	$160
Donovan Mitchell Constellations	RARE	249	211	7	88%	31	$19.95	—
Jamal Murray The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	443	3,935	88%	622	$1.70	$1.89
Kamilla Cardoso WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2024	RARE	119	99	5	87%	15	$39.46	$175
The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	455	3,915	87%	630	$0.71	$0.79
The Champion's Path 2024	FANDOM	1,134	53	936	87%	145	$2.00	—
Jayson Tatum The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	315	4,041	87%	644	$1.11	$2.00
Sabrina Ionescu WNBA Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	23	20	0	87%	3	$539	$599
Alyssa Thomas WNBA Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	23	20	0	87%	3	$106	$219
Anfernee Hardaway Run It Back: Origins	RARE	168	146	0	87%	22	$131	$145
RJ Barrett Got Game	COMMON	1,000	122	747	87%	131	$35.10	$39.00
LeBron James The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	271	4,075	87%	654	$13.63	$22.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Metallic Gold LE	RARE	68	56	3	87%	9	$353	$544
Steph Curry The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	279	4,060	87%	661	$0.75	$2.22
Al Horford Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs	RARE	309	117	151	87%	41	$4.25	$7.90
The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	266	4,065	87%	669	$0.90	$1.00
Jimmy Butler The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	239	4,091	87%	670	$0.90	$1.00
2022-23 Season Rewind	LEGENDARY	37	26	6	87%	5	$48.60	$54.00
Jackie Young 2025 WNBA Finals	LEGENDARY	44	38	0	86%	6	$61.33	$144
Jalen Williams 2022-23 Honors	RARE	117	98	3	86%	16	$195	$89.00
The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	227	4,088	86%	685	$2.70	$3.00
Dylan Harper Rookie Revelation	LEGENDARY	29	25	0	86%	4	$2.6k	$2.9k
Nique Clifford Origins	RARE	130	96	16	86%	18	$34.67	$69.99
The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	271	4,038	86%	691	$1.80	$2.00
Bam Adebayo The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	224	4,079	86%	697	$1.35	$1.50
Alex Caruso 2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare	RARE	299	83	174	86%	42	$6.50	$22.00
Collin Sexton Fresh Threads	RARE	249	156	58	86%	35	$24.50	—
Harry Giles Got Game	COMMON	1,000	165	694	86%	141	$12.00	$40.00
Damion Lee Got Game	COMMON	1,000	140	719	86%	141	$25.83	$29.00
Anthony Davis The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	244	4,048	86%	708	$1.00	$1.11
2022-23 Season Rewind	LEGENDARY	35	20	10	86%	5	$34.00	$134
Breanna Stewart WNBA Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	49	24	18	86%	7	$206	$459
Victor Wembanyama Metallic Gold LE	RARE	147	126	0	86%	21	$975	$1.1k
Brandon Miller Metallic Gold LE	RARE	168	139	5	86%	24	$56.00	$65.00
Julie Vanloo WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2024	RARE	123	97	8	85%	18	$14.52	$23.00
VJ Edgecombe 2026 Playoff Premieres	RARE	164	61	79	85%	24	$186	$240
Fit Check	RARE	171	139	7	85%	25	$5.95	$12.00
Jaylen Brown Eastern Conference Finals	RARE	999	116	737	85%	146	$27.00	$30.00
Jaylen Brown The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	287	3,984	85%	729	$0.89	$1.00
Cameron Brink WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2024	RARE	129	99	11	85%	19	$49.33	$65.00
WNBA Squad Goals	RARE	150	124	4	85%	22	$8.50	$54.00
Jalen Brunson The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	272	3,986	85%	742	$1.80	$2.00
Kevin Durant The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	252	4,006	85%	742	$2.00	$2.22
Keyonte George Extra Spice	COMMON	1,000	842	9	85%	149	$10.68	—
Josh Jackson Got Game	COMMON	1,000	118	733	85%	149	$18.00	$20.00
2022-23 Season Rewind	LEGENDARY	40	21	13	85%	6	$220	$120
Larry Johnson Run It Back	RARE	273	222	10	85%	41	$19.60	$39.99
Damian Lillard For the Win	RARE	252	209	5	85%	38	$20.17	—
Manu Ginóbili Run It Back: Origins	RARE	184	152	4	85%	28	$39.25	$75.00
Jayson Tatum Eastern Conference Finals	RARE	999	116	731	85%	152	$36.00	$40.00
Devonte' Graham Got Game	COMMON	1,000	132	716	85%	152	$24.30	$27.00
Anthony Davis Run It Back: Origins	RARE	248	199	11	85%	38	$56.89	$149
LeBron James Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	13	11	0	85%	2	$3.0k	—
Keegan Murray Rookie Revelation	LEGENDARY	52	43	1	85%	8	$378	$420
Donovan Mitchell Got Game	COMMON	1,000	141	704	85%	155	$22.00	$18.50
Marcus Smart Eastern Conference Finals	RARE	999	110	733	84%	156	$10.40	$11.00
Klay Thompson The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	248	3,971	84%	781	$1.33	$2.00
Trae Young For The Win	RARE	102	85	1	84%	16	$81.50	—
Walt Frazier Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	146	122	1	84%	23	$200	$291
Devin Booker The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	246	3,963	84%	791	$0.85	$2.00
Kemba Walker Eastern Conference Finals	RARE	999	103	737	84%	159	$20.70	$23.00
Daniel Theis Eastern Conference Finals	RARE	999	108	732	84%	159	$8.33	$11.00
Bam Adebayo Eastern Conference Finals	RARE	999	95	745	84%	159	$11.50	$15.00
Julius Randle The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	284	3,922	84%	794	$0.90	$1.00
Sam Hauser Breakout	RARE	149	121	4	84%	24	$57.50	—
Dell Curry Run It Back: Family Business	RARE	155	128	2	84%	25	$63.75	—
Jayson Tatum Run It Back: Origins 2014-19	RARE	242	203	0	84%	39	$150	$215
The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	269	3,923	84%	808	$0.82	$1.11
Dana Evans 2025 WNBA Finals	LEGENDARY	49	41	0	84%	8	$100	$150
Caleb Love Freshman Gems	RARE	129	94	14	84%	21	$24.73	$32.00
The Champion's Path 2024	FANDOM	1,252	58	990	84%	204	$2.00	—
Joel Embiid The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	286	3,894	84%	820	$0.85	$1.50
The Champion's Path	COMMON	5,000	270	3,908	84%	822	$1.13	$1.25
The Champion's Path 2024	FANDOM	1,252	55	990	84%	207	$0.85	—
Goran Dragić Eastern Conference Finals	RARE	999	89	744	83%	166	$17.10	$19.00
Caleb Love Rookie Revelation	LEGENDARY	30	25	0	83%	5	$269	$299
Troy Brown Jr. Got Game	COMMON	1,000	141	692	83%	167	$11.60	$13.60
The Champion's Path 2024	FANDOM	1,147	49	906	83%	192	$2.00	—

Methodology

Squeeze % = (locked + burned) / circulation. Lock %, burn %, and effectively-buyable % all share the same denominator (original circulation), so they sum to 100%. Squeeze % is bounded to [50%, 100%].

Effectively buyable = circulation − locked − burned. Lock + burn data refreshes hourly from on-chain badge event ingestion. FMV from the RPC 1.7.0 sales-based average-sales-price model (recency-weighted) with outlier filtering; — indicates fewer than the minimum sale-count threshold for a confidence score.

Low ask is the lowest live listing. A listing more than 10× this edition’s FMV is shown as — “ask &gg; FMV”rather than as a price: at that distance it is either a troll listing or a stale FMV, and either way it is not what the moment trades for. The row itself is never removed — hover the flag to see the listed number. Today this affects 10 of the 8,859 editions that carry a live ask.

We start at 50% squeeze because below that, the marketplace UI is already close to honest. The interesting tail is the editions where Top Shot says “229 minted” and only 12 of them are actually purchasable.

The Lock-Rate Squeeze Board

Methodology

The numbers, in your inbox.