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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5066
Throwdowns: Chance Hit
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$4.99
Actual EV
—
≈ $9.68 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.99
Typical Pull
$1.95
Grail premium $7.73 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.99
FMV coverage
100%
37 editions
Depletion
98%
live pool
Packs remaining
369
of 16,823 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 14h ago2.2%unopened
Ultimate0 / 2 (0.0%)
Rare112 / 5,096 (2.2%)
Common1,728 / 79,017 (2.2%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 14h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 112 / 5,096 | 6.1% | ~1 in 4 |
| Common | 1,728 / 79,017 | 94% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 37 of 37 (100%)Anthony Edwards
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$8.62
Floor
$7.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.82%Wt 0.008
John Collins
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$7.14
Floor
$7.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.92%Wt 0.019
Jayson Tatum
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$6.63
Floor
$5.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.92%Wt 0.019
Cam Whitmore
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$6.32
Floor
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 2.20%Wt 0.022
Jalen Duren
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$6.29
Floor
$6.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.92%Wt 0.019
Max Christie
Breakout
RARE7
FMV
$6.27
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.10%Wt 0.011
Ausar Thompson
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$6.00
Floor
$6.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.005
Keon Ellis
Breakout
RARE7
FMV
$5.45
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.005
Amen Thompson
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.37%Wt 0.014
Paolo Banchero
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.37%Wt 0.014
Evan Mobley
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.10%Wt 0.011
Bam Adebayo
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$4.99
Floor
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.37%Wt 0.014
Malik Monk
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$4.52
Floor
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 2.20%Wt 0.022
AJ Green
Breakout
RARE7
FMV
$4.33
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.82%Wt 0.008
Ja Morant
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$4.17
Floor
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.82%Wt 0.008
Derrick Jones Jr.
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 2.75%Wt 0.027
Myles Turner
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.92%Wt 0.019
Devin Vassell
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.65%Wt 0.016
Jonathan Kuminga
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.82%Wt 0.008
Zach LaVine
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$3.73
Floor
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.37%Wt 0.014
Gary Payton II
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$3.40
Floor
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.82%Wt 0.008
Jaylen Clark
Hustle and Show
COMMON7
FMV
$0.98
Floor
$0.49
Mint 2,500
Hit 9.07%Wt 0.089
Dalen Terry
Base Set
COMMON7
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.30
Mint 8,000
Hit 20.33%Wt 0.201
Jrue Holiday
Base Set
COMMON7
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 23.90%Wt 0.236