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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5271
The Climb: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$9.99
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.32 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $9.99 ask
Typical Pull
$1.02
Grail premium $0.30 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $9.99 ask
FMV coverage
100%
54 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 8h ago
Packs remaining
426
of 18,628 minted · as of 8h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 8h ago2.3%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Legendary0 / 94 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.50
Rare33 / 1,397 (2.4%)
7.7 per 100 sealed packs · launch 7.5 · ≈ launch rate
Common1,245 / 54,392 (2.3%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 8h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 94 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 33 / 1,397 | 2.6% | ~1 in 13 |
| Common | 1,245 / 54,392 | 97% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 54 of 54 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Keon Ellis
3 Pointer · Dec 31, 2024
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
3 Pointer · May 13, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.75
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.66%Wt 0.027
Anthony Edwards
Dunk · May 10, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.73
Recent Low
$0.45
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.74%Wt 0.027
Max Strus
Dunk · May 6, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.69
Recent Low
$0.89
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.68%Wt 0.037
Aaron Nesmith
Jump Shot · May 12, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.68%Wt 0.037
Donovan Mitchell
Layup · May 9, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.43
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.52%Wt 0.035
Alex Caruso
Steal · May 18, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.41
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.29%Wt 0.033
Nikola Jokić
3 Pointer · May 14, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.41
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.21%Wt 0.032
Obi Toppin
Layup · May 12, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.39
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.60%Wt 0.036
Myles Turner
3 Pointer · May 4, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.38
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.58%Wt 0.026
Luke Kornet
Dunk · May 14, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.58%Wt 0.026
Luguentz Dort
3 Pointer · May 13, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.35
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.97%Wt 0.03
Julius Randle
3 Pointer · May 15, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.44%Wt 0.034
Jaden McDaniels
Dunk · May 9, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.05%Wt 0.031
Andrew Nembhard
3 Pointer · May 4, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.74%Wt 0.027
Cason Wallace
Dunk · May 18, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.74%Wt 0.027
Jaylen Brown
Steal · May 14, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.66%Wt 0.027
OG Anunoby
Dunk · May 5, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.68%Wt 0.037
Pascal Siakam
Layup · May 13, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.32
Recent Low
$0.24
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.90%Wt 0.029
Aaron Gordon
3 Pointer · May 6, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.44%Wt 0.034
Jayson Tatum
3 Pointer · May 10, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.36%Wt 0.034
Miles McBride
Dunk · May 7, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.76%Wt 0.038
Julian Strawther
3 Pointer · May 16, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.28
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.76%Wt 0.038
Isaiah Hartenstein
Block · May 14, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 4.15%Wt 0.041