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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5299
The Climb: Chance Hit Mini
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$7.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.95 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $7.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.69
Grail premium $0.26 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $7.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
161 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
107
of 20,000 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago0.5%unopened
Ultimate0 / 2 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Legendary0 / 20 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.10
Rare2 / 200 (1.0%)
1.9 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.0 · 1.9× launch rate
Common319 / 59,778 (0.5%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 20 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 2 / 200 | 0.6% | ~1 in 54 |
| Common | 319 / 59,778 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 161 of 161 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Damian Lillard
3 Pointer · Mar 9, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.31%Wt 0.003
Devin Vassell
Reel · Mar 5, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.61
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.31%Wt 0.003
Quenton Jackson
Dunk · Nov 19, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.31%Wt 0.003
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
3 Pointer · May 13, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.75
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.62%Wt 0.006
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · May 1, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.76
Recent Low
$0.84
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.009
Anthony Edwards
Dunk · May 10, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.73
Recent Low
$0.45
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.012
Max Strus
Dunk · May 6, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.69
Recent Low
$0.89
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.62%Wt 0.006
Amen Thompson
Steal · Apr 30, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.45
Recent Low
$0.32
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.009
Aaron Nesmith
Jump Shot · May 12, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.49%Wt 0.025
Nikola Jokić
3 Pointer · May 14, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.41
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.87%Wt 0.019
Alex Caruso
Steal · May 18, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.41
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.009
Obi Toppin
Layup · May 12, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.39
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.18%Wt 0.022
Myles Turner
3 Pointer · May 4, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.38
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.009
Luke Kornet
Dunk · May 14, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.012
Luguentz Dort
3 Pointer · May 13, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.35
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.49%Wt 0.025
Jaylen Brown
Steal · May 14, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.87%Wt 0.019
Julius Randle
3 Pointer · May 15, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.56%Wt 0.016
OG Anunoby
Dunk · May 5, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.87%Wt 0.019
Buddy Hield
3 Pointer · May 5, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.012
Jayson Tatum
3 Pointer · May 10, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.012
Wendell Carter Jr.
Dunk · Feb 22, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.012
Jamal Murray
Steal · May 10, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.87%Wt 0.019
Devin Booker
Assist · Feb 1, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.56%Wt 0.016
Mike Conley
3 Pointer · Jan 1, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.18%Wt 0.022