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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5318
The Brink: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$79.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $11.88 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $79.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.10
Grail premium $10.78 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $79.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
63 editions
Depletion
100%
pool · as of 18h ago
Packs remaining
16
of 15,000 minted · as of 18h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 18h ago0.1%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Legendary1 / 300 (0.3%)
6.3 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.0 · 3.1× launch rate
Rare6 / 3,750 (0.2%)
38 per 100 sealed packs · launch 25 · 1.5× launch rate
Common73 / 70,949 (0.1%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 18h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 1 / 300 | 1.3% | ~1 in 16 |
| Rare | 6 / 3,750 | 7.5% | ~1 in 3 |
| Common | 73 / 70,949 | 91% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 63 of 63 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Handles · Mar 23, 2021
Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 2
FMV
$145
Recent Low
$103
Mint 99
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Jayson Tatum
Dunk · Feb 9, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.75
Mint 599
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Dāvis Bertāns
3 Pointer · Jan 23, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$5.10
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Buddy Hield
3 Pointer · May 5, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.87
Mint 299
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Jalen Williams
Dunk · May 21, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Devin Vassell
Dunk · Feb 8, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Toronto Raptors
Dunk · Jan 7, 2024
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Aaron Nesmith
3 Pointer · May 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.45
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Anthony Edwards
Dunk · May 10, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.73
Recent Low
$0.45
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Jett Howard
Assist · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.71
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Tidjane Salaün
Steal · Oct 26, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.65
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Alex Reese
Dunk · Mar 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.53
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Keion Brooks Jr.
Layup · Mar 30, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.48
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Alex Caruso
Steal · May 18, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.41
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Miles McBride
Dunk · May 7, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Julian Strawther
3 Pointer · May 16, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.28
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Mikal Bridges
Steal · May 7, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Paul George
3 Pointer · Dec 17, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Isaiah Hartenstein
Block · May 14, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.038
Julian Strawther
Dunk · Nov 7, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.038
Jrue Holiday
3 Pointer · Dec 31, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Jump Shot · Dec 22, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Derrick Jones Jr.
Dunk · Dec 28, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.038
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Dunk · Jan 11, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.038