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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5788
Run It Back: 1970s Chance Hit Pack (Wave 2)
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$10.25
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.51 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.25 ask
Typical Pull
$0.84
Grail premium $0.67 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.25 ask
FMV coverage
100%
90 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
93
of 5,000 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago1.9%unopened
Ultimate0 / 3 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.06
Rare3 / 497 (0.6%)
3.2 per 100 sealed packs · launch 9.9 · 0.3× launch rate
Common276 / 14,500 (1.9%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 3 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 3 / 497 | 1.1% | ~1 in 31 |
| Common | 276 / 14,500 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 90 of 90 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Moses Malone
Dunk · Oct 18, 1978
Run It Back: 1970s
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.36%Wt 0.004
Amar'e Stoudemire
Dunk · Feb 22, 2015
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.36%Wt 0.004
Calvin Murphy
Assist · Dec 13, 1978
Run It Back: 1970s
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.36%Wt 0.004
Matas Buzelis
Assist · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.36%Wt 0.004
Jared McCain
Jump Shot · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.99
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.36%Wt 0.004
Reed Sheppard
Jump Shot · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.45
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.36%Wt 0.004
Tristan da Silva
Layup · Nov 1, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.20
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.36%Wt 0.004
LeBron James
Assist · Mar 28, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.99
Recent Low
$0.74
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.72%Wt 0.007
LeBron James
3 Pointer · Feb 2, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.79
Recent Low
$0.75
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.72%Wt 0.007
Tidjane Salaün
Steal · Oct 26, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.65
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.72%Wt 0.007
Ausar Thompson
Assist · Mar 18, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 2,500
Hit 4.30%Wt 0.043
Drew Timme
Layup · Mar 28, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.59
Recent Low
$0.39
Mint 4,000
Hit 6.09%Wt 0.061
Bobi Klintman
Block · Mar 2, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.94%Wt 0.039
Alex Reese
Dunk · Mar 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.53
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.02%Wt 0.05
Damion Baugh
3 Pointer · Feb 13, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.52
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.66%Wt 0.047
Steph Curry
Assist · Mar 16, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.39
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.58%Wt 0.036
Keion Brooks Jr.
Layup · Mar 30, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.48
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 9.32%Wt 0.093
Keon Ellis
Steal · Mar 25, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.15%Wt 0.022
Fred VanVleet
Assist · Mar 31, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.87%Wt 0.029
Josh Giddey
Assist · Jan 5, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.87%Wt 0.029
Bogdan Bogdanović
Assist · Apr 4, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.15%Wt 0.022
Tyus Jones
Assist · Nov 9, 2024
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.79%Wt 0.018
James Harden
Assist · Mar 13, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.032
Nick Smith Jr.
Assist · Jan 8, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.79%Wt 0.018